India's official policy states that Kashmir is an "integral part" of the country. It is the country's only Muslim majority state: Muslims comprise 97% of the population in the Kashmir valley and 60% of the population in Jammu and Kashmir. The remaining 40% of the population in Jammu and Kashmir is a mix of Hindus, Buddhists and Sikhs.
Since its independence in 1947, India has seen the inclusion of Kashmir as an endorsement of the country’s secular fabric. There is a deeply held fear among India’s ruling elite that granting Kashmir independence will trigger off demands for secession in other parts of the country, thereby balkanising it. The spectre of a partitioning of the country along religious lines is a strong fear.
There is a deeply held fear among India’s ruling elite that granting Kashmir independence will trigger off demands for secession in other parts of the country
In terms of foreign policy, India does not favour any third party or international mediation in Kashmir and maintains it is a matter to be resolved bilaterally between India and Pakistan. Jammu and Kashmir provides India with a natural bulwark against foreign aggression from historically hostile neighbours. Since gaining independence, India and Pakistan have fought four wars, primarily over Kashmir.
Additionally, there are ongoing historical territorial disputes between India and China regarding a portion of Kashmir known as Aksai Chin. In 1962, China launched a surprise attack on India's eastern and northern borders which later turned into full-blown war. Despite India suffering a crushing defeat, there was no loss of territory as China later retreated to pre-war lines.
There is also an unstated economic rationale for the control of Kashmir. All the main north-Indian rivers, which are the lifeline for millions of Indians and provide hydro-electric generated power to the entire northern grid of India, either flow through or originate in Kashmir. For decades, India and Pakistan have avoided a war over these waters, mainly due to a World Bank mediated Indus-Water Treaty signed between them in 1960. Increasingly, however, the treaty is under strain largely due to climate-change induced factors that are wreaking havoc on the river levels. In turn, this is creating massive water, livelihood and power related instability on both sides of the Line of Control.
Kashmiri Hindus account for only 3% of the population of the Kashmir valley, where the main demand for independence exists. Historically, however, this Hindu population dominated the administration, governance and intellectual professions in the state of Jammu and Kashmir and in the predominantly Muslim-populated Kashmir valley. This is mainly a legacy of the Hindu Dogra rulers of Jammu and Kashmir who held sway for more than a century-and-a-half prior to India’s independence in 1947. India’s foremost political family, the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty are also Kashmiri Pandits. Members of the family have led India for more than half of the country’s political life after independence.
A majority of the Kashmiri Pandits fled the Kashmir valley in the early 90's following a violent militant-driven insurgency by Kashmiri Muslims against Indian rule. The issue of their return to the Kashmir valley remains unresolved.
For both Kashmiri Muslims and Kashmiri Hindus, the valley is the source of their socio-religious identity.
For both Kashmiri Muslims and Kashmiri Hindus, the valley is the source of their socio-religious identity. For the Kashmiri Muslims, it is the unique Sufi brand of Islam popular in the Valley and for the Kashmiri Pandits it is Kashmir Shaivism, a school of Hindu philosophy that originated in the Himalayas around 400 AD. Jammu and Kashmir is also home to some of the holiest Hindu shrines which are frequented in large numbers during annual pilgrimages.
Another reason for India's tacit desire to retain the Kashmir Valley may also lie in its famed and idyllic natural beauty.